V-Lab
US Dollar to Swiss Franc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026
1 Day
5.50%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
5.52%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Month
5.58%
increased by 0.05%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~80 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.4112 | 12.54*** |
| αARCH | 0.0248 | 5.71*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9666 | 188.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0004 | 4.69*** |
0.991
Persistence80d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.4112 | 12.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0248 | 5.71*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9666 | 188.19*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0004 | 4.69*** |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
80 days
Other US Dollar to Swiss Franc Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on Currencies