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US Dollar to Swiss Franc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

5.66%

increased by 0.08%

1 Week

5.68%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

5.73%

increased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of US Dollar to Swiss Franc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~80 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.4113
12.53***
αARCH0.0248
5.71***
βGARCH0.9665
187.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
4.70***

0.991

Persistence

80d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.4113
12.53***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0248
5.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9665
187.97***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ10.0004
4.70***

Persistence:

0.991

Half-life:

80 days