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Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

54.58%

decreased by 6.83%

1 Week

51.61%

decreased by 9.80%

1 Month

47.35%

decreased by 14.06%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1146
9.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6878
15.90***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0140
1.05
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2200
0.29
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0650
0.31
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9114
3.42***

Persistence:

0.809

Half-life:

3 days