V-Lab
Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
54.58%
decreased by 6.83%
1 Week
51.61%
decreased by 9.80%
1 Month
47.35%
decreased by 14.06%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1146 | 9.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6878 | 15.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0140 | 1.05 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.2200 | 0.29 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0650 | 0.31 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9114 | 3.42*** |
Persistence:
0.809
Half-life:
3 days
Other Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities