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Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

58.74%

decreased by 7.31%

1 Week

55.57%

decreased by 10.48%

1 Month

50.09%

decreased by 15.96%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 4 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5380
2.23**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1321
6.00***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7076
12.90***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-0.9657
-4.39***
γ21.6391
4.67***
γ3-1.1639
-3.80***
γ40.6903
2.91***
γ5-0.1946
-1.31
γ6-0.0990
-1.05
γ70.2895
4.12***
γ8-0.3952
-5.51***
γ90.3511
4.46***
γ10-0.2158
-3.32***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days