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Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

54.96%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

54.91%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

54.71%

decreased by 0.81%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0523
4.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0224
5.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9745
283.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0044
-0.70

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

130 days