V-Lab
Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026
1 Day
54.96%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
54.91%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
54.71%
decreased by 0.81%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 130 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0523 | 4.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0224 | 5.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9745 | 283.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0044 | -0.70 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
130 days
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