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Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 26th, 2026

1 Day

75.25%

decreased by 11.88%

1 Week

75.17%

decreased by 11.96%

1 Month

74.88%

decreased by 12.25%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 23, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Elsaeed Contracting & Real Estate Investment Co SCCD GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 6, 1998 to Jul 22, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 0.999, volatility shocks have a half-life of 693 trading days (~2.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 7.71 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1887
37.16***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
427.65***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

7.7106
84.41***

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days