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V-Lab

Tng Invt & Trading Jsc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

34.24%

increased by 0.10%

1 Week

35.81%

increased by 1.67%

1 Month

39.13%

increased by 4.99%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:51 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tng Invt & Trading Jsc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 55% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0742
15.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7257
45.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0409
7.48***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.8915
0.47
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6028
0.46
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0695
0.03

Persistence:

0.820

Half-life:

3 days