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V-Lab

Tng Invt & Trading Jsc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

35.52%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

36.76%

increased by 1.18%

1 Month

40.42%

increased by 4.84%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 02:49 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tng Invt & Trading Jsc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3750
16.38***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0866
15.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8668
193.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0176
1.88*

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days