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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

16.63%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

16.59%

decreased by 0.40%

1 Month

16.44%

decreased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 296% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0104
18.69***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0173
13.18***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9452
732.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0512
16.04***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days