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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 15th, 2026

1 Day

15.67%

increased by 1.28%

1 Week

15.65%

increased by 1.26%

1 Month

15.57%

increased by 1.18%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 294% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0104
18.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0174
13.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9452
731.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0511
15.98***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

58 days