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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

15.64%

decreased by 0.39%

1 Week

15.62%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Month

15.57%

decreased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 63 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 63 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0097
22.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0488
38.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9403
642.71***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days