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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

17.32%

increased by 0.15%

1 Week

17.28%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

17.15%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 193% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0002
0.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0898
37.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9867
1,641.81***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0442
-25.21***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days