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S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 8th, 2026

1 Day

16.67%

decreased by 0.47%

1 Week

16.65%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Month

16.59%

decreased by 0.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 7, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/07/2024

to

10/07/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Live Cattle Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 194% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 194% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0002
0.07
αARCH0.0895
9.49***
βGARCH0.9868
412.35***
γleverage-0.0441
-6.31***

0.987

Persistence

52d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0002
0.07
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0895
9.49***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9868
412.35***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0441
-6.31***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

52 days