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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Energy and Metals Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

31.43%

decreased by 1.84%

1 Week

31.45%

decreased by 1.82%

1 Month

31.50%

decreased by 1.77%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of S&P GSCI Energy and Metals Spot Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 1995 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 47% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0212
16.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1438
30.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9848
1,142.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0274
-7.33***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days