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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Copper Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

19.94%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Week

20.11%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

20.75%

increased by 0.46%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Copper Spot Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 28% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0146
18.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1098
30.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9869
1,335.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0136
-4.40***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days