Skip to main content
V-Lab

S&P GSCI Nickel Spot Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

20.55%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

20.91%

decreased by 0.19%

1 Month

22.32%

increased by 1.22%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Nickel Spot Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 1993 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0241
17.10***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1130
22.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9870
1,232.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0157
4.48***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

53 days