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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Brent Crude Oil Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

43.34%

decreased by 2.85%

1 Week

43.15%

decreased by 3.04%

1 Month

42.49%

decreased by 3.70%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Brent Crude Oil Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 1999 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 72% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0330
16.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1604
25.84***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9813
953.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0427
-8.74***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

37 days