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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

21.98%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Week

22.06%

decreased by 0.68%

1 Month

22.36%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0271
21.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0649
24.02***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9213
492.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0069
1.62

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days