V-Lab
S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
21.98%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Week
22.06%
decreased by 0.68%
1 Month
22.36%
decreased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0271 | 21.00*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0649 | 24.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9213 | 492.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0069 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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