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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

26.71%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

26.69%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Month

26.63%

decreased by 0.29%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0269
20.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0646
24.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9217
497.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0069
1.63

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days