V-Lab
S&P GSCI Corn Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
26.71%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
26.69%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
26.63%
decreased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0269 | 20.95*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0646 | 24.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9217 | 497.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0069 | 1.63 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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