V-Lab
S&P GSCI Corn Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
24.56%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
24.63%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Month
24.91%
decreased by 0.20%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0164 | 24.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1437 | 43.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9848 | 1,365.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0036 | 1.24 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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