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V-Lab

S&P GSCI Corn Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

24.56%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

24.63%

decreased by 0.48%

1 Month

24.91%

decreased by 0.20%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 11:03 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P GSCI Corn Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0164
24.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1437
43.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9848
1,365.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0036
1.24

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days