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V-Lab

iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

66.10%

increased by 3.88%

1 Week

65.56%

increased by 3.34%

1 Month

63.52%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 212% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0470
15.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0328
11.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9215
414.72***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0696
12.87***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days