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V-Lab

iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

51.67%

decreased by 0.72%

1 Week

51.33%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Month

50.06%

decreased by 2.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 215% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0475
15.91***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0326
11.04***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9212
413.08***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0703
13.00***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

62 days