V-Lab
iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026
1 Day
66.10%
increased by 3.88%
1 Week
65.56%
increased by 3.34%
1 Month
63.52%
increased by 1.30%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 212% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0470 | 15.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0328 | 11.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9215 | 414.72*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0696 | 12.87*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
63 days
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