V-Lab
iShares Semiconductor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026
1 Day
51.67%
decreased by 0.72%
1 Week
51.33%
decreased by 1.06%
1 Month
50.06%
decreased by 2.33%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 13, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 215% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0475 | 15.91*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0326 | 11.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9212 | 413.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0703 | 13.00*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
62 days
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