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V-Lab

iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

39.58%

decreased by 1.09%

1 Week

39.92%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Month

40.74%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0216
1.94*
βGARCH0.8917
69.11***
γleverage0.0936
6.86***
λ₁tau intercept0.0080
1.18
λ₂forecast adj.0.0232
2.39**
λ₃tau persistence0.9747
90.88***

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0216
1.94*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8917
69.11***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0936
6.86***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0080
1.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0232
2.39**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9747
90.88***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days