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iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

108.36%

decreased by 7.61%

1 Week

107.45%

decreased by 8.52%

1 Month

104.38%

decreased by 11.59%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0073
0.30
βGARCH0.8582
40.64***
γleverage0.2333
1.72*
λ₁tau intercept0.0531
0.82
λ₂forecast adj.0.0610
1.01
λ₃tau persistence0.9390
18.66***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0073
0.30
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8582
40.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2333
1.72*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0531
0.82
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0610
1.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9390
18.66***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days