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V-Lab

iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 30th, 2026

1 Day

66.48%

increased by 4.50%

1 Week

65.41%

increased by 3.43%

1 Month

62.11%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0212
7.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8923
214.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0935
26.69***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0081
5.30***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0244
6.06***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9735
221.30***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days