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V-Lab

iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 20th, 2026

1 Day

51.62%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Week

51.47%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Month

50.20%

decreased by 1.91%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 09:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Semiconductor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 13, 2001 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0209
7.58***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8918
214.43***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0945
26.85***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0081
5.32***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0242
6.14***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9738
226.45***

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days