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Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 23rd, 2026

1 Day

165.29%

increased by 47.11%

1 Week

163.13%

increased by 44.95%

1 Month

155.25%

increased by 37.07%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/22/2024

to

10/22/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 11, 2010 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 36 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 36 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 36-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6217
3.92***
αARCH0.0516
2.49**
βGARCH0.9000
61.83***
γleverage0.0589
1.92*

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6217
3.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0516
2.49**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9000
61.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0589
1.92*

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days