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{name} Model Equation

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	61
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0000	0.00
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8401	249.36***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.2027	48.91***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0123	6.66***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0791	6.47***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9118	69.62***

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S&P 500 Growth Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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Volatility Forecast

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