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V-Lab
V-Lab

Singapore Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

2.55%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

2.70%

increased by 0.17%

1 Month

2.78%

increased by 0.25%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC

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graph of Singapore Dollar MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0752
3.98***
βGARCH0.1390
0.96
γleverage0.0210
0.84
λ₁tau intercept0.0112
4.50***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8636
5.84***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.225

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0752
3.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1390
0.96
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0210
0.84
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0112
4.50***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8636
5.84***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.225

Half-life:

0 days