V-Lab
Singapore Dollar MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
2.55%
increased by 0.02%
1 Week
2.70%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
2.78%
increased by 0.25%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 08:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 36 | |
| αARCH | 0.0752 | 3.98*** |
| βGARCH | 0.1390 | 0.96 |
| γleverage | 0.0210 | 0.84 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0112 | 4.50*** |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.8636 | 5.84*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.225
Persistence0d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0752 | 3.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1390 | 0.96 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0210 | 0.84 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0112 | 4.50*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.8636 | 5.84*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.225
Half-life:
0 days
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