V-Lab
Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF R&D Leaders ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
19.60%
decreased by 1.54%
1 Week
19.64%
decreased by 1.50%
1 Month
19.65%
decreased by 1.49%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.7296 | 4.53*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4484 | 4.00*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1519 | 1.68* |
Persistence:
0.524
Half-life:
1 days
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