V-Lab
Pacer S&P 500 Quality FCF R&D Leaders ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
19.06%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
19.60%
increased by 0.07%
1 Month
19.84%
increased by 0.31%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 14, 2026 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8163 | 3.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4130 | 2.97*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1365 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.481
Half-life:
1 days
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