V-Lab
Princes Group PLC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
36.58%
increased by 1.53%
1 Week
36.46%
increased by 1.41%
1 Month
36.36%
increased by 1.31%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.85 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.2374 | 3.86*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2317 | 3.18*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6635 | 9.41*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.8453 | 1.88* |
Persistence:
0.664
Half-life:
2 days
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