Princes Group PLC AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
29.54%
decreased by 1.60%
1 Week
34.14%
increased by 3.00%
1 Month
35.71%
increased by 4.57%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 1.72) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.9116 | 11.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4024 | 8.56*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.7234 | 16.12*** |
Persistence:
0.402
Half-life:
1 days
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