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V-Lab

Princes Group PLC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

28.11%

decreased by 0.08%

1 Week

39.59%

increased by 11.40%

1 Month

51.38%

increased by 23.19%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:29 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Princes Group PLC SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5238
1.99**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.6420
2.09**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1661
1.95*
γi Spline Coefficients
K=1
γ11.7759
0.36

Persistence:

0.808

Half-life:

3 days