Princes Group PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
26.66%
decreased by 6.54%
1 Week
34.98%
increased by 1.78%
1 Month
39.24%
increased by 6.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6812 | 20.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0902 | 4.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 5.86*** |
Persistence:
0.590
Half-life:
1 days
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