V-Lab
Princes Group PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
37.89%
increased by 10.47%
1 Week
39.16%
increased by 11.74%
1 Month
39.93%
increased by 12.51%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 08:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.6274 | 20.93*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0900 | 4.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 1.0000 | 5.79*** |
Persistence:
0.590
Half-life:
1 days
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