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V-Lab

Princes Group PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026

1 Day

26.66%

decreased by 6.54%

1 Week

34.98%

increased by 1.78%

1 Month

39.24%

increased by 6.04%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Princes Group PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.6812
20.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0902
4.51***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

1.0000
5.86***

Persistence:

0.590

Half-life:

1 days