Princes Group PLC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 20th, 2026
1 Day
35.15%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Week
37.03%
increased by 0.99%
1 Month
41.83%
increased by 5.79%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 19, 2026 at 04:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5598 | 4.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1764 | 7.21*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7724 | 21.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0101 | -0.21 |
Persistence:
0.944
Half-life:
12 days
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