Princes Group PLC EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
27.04%
decreased by 3.06%
1 Week
30.08%
decreased by 0.02%
1 Month
31.76%
increased by 1.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 31, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 268% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6430 | 9.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5376 | 15.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5474 | 13.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3077 | -7.42*** |
Persistence:
0.547
Half-life:
1 days
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