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V-Lab

Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

14.66%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

14.77%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Month

15.03%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0098
0.91
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7612
27.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1413
8.35***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.8132
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1009
0.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.842

Half-life:

4 days