V-Lab
Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
14.66%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
14.77%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
15.03%
increased by 0.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0098 | 0.91 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7612 | 27.05*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1413 | 8.35*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.8132 | 0.06 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1009 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.842
Half-life:
4 days
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