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V-Lab

Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

14.95%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

15.24%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Month

15.93%

increased by 0.56%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Apr 16, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0919
8.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0132
1.26
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7849
48.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2397
5.63***

Persistence:

0.918

Half-life:

8 days