V-Lab
Simplify NXT Intang Core IDX GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
14.95%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
15.24%
decreased by 0.13%
1 Month
15.93%
increased by 0.56%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0919 | 8.54*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0132 | 1.26 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7849 | 48.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2397 | 5.63*** |
Persistence:
0.918
Half-life:
8 days
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