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V-Lab

Motley Fool Innovative Growth Factor ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

11.89%

increased by 0.67%

1 Week

13.41%

increased by 2.19%

1 Month

13.91%

increased by 2.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Motley Fool Innovative Growth Factor ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 383% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1305
43.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.01
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
112.16***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7852
30.34***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.380

Half-life:

1 days