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V-Lab

Motley Fool Innovative Growth Factor ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

15.98%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Week

16.14%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Month

16.56%

increased by 0.22%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Motley Fool Innovative Growth Factor ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 9, 2025 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0825
3.66***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8626
30.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1344
3.17***

Persistence:

0.930

Half-life:

10 days