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V-Lab

Samhallsbygg I Nor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

53.08%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

56.76%

increased by 3.59%

1 Month

57.27%

increased by 4.10%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 08:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Samhallsbygg I Nor MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 3, 2023 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow126
αARCH0.0145
1.13
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.2954
2.57**
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.00
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
0.00
λ₃tau persistence0.9985
253.74***

0.162

Persistence

0d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0145
1.13
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2954
2.57**
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9985
253.74***

Persistence:

0.162

Half-life:

0 days