V-Lab
Samhallsbygg I Nor MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
35.59%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Week
38.02%
increased by 0.53%
1 Month
38.62%
increased by 1.13%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 3, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0388 | 2.40** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2357 | 3.02*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1079 | 1.37 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8768 | 7.61*** |
Persistence:
0.157
Half-life:
0 days
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