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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

1.51%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.55%

increased by 0.05%

1 Month

1.53%

increased by 0.03%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8832
43.46***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0608
8.56***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0046
0.13
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.6260
0.11
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.914

Half-life:

8 days