V-Lab
Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
1.60%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
1.63%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
1.72%
increased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 31, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 220% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0004 | 6.79*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0241 | 3.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9261 | 112.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0529 | 3.04*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
Other Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs