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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

1.60%

increased by 0.01%

1 Week

1.63%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

1.72%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Limited Dura BO ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 31, 2023 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 220% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0004
6.79***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0241
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9261
112.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0529
3.04***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days