Skip to main content
V-Lab

Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.22%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

24.33%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Month

24.10%

decreased by 0.66%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8734
17.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0718
3.24***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1088
0.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2286
0.16
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7222
0.43

Persistence:

0.909

Half-life:

7 days