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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026

1 Day

32.05%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Week

31.60%

decreased by 2.14%

1 Month

30.07%

decreased by 3.67%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2024 to Jul 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 336% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0665
5.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0326
2.75***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8819
82.31***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1094
3.98***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days