V-Lab
Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
22.30%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
22.36%
decreased by 0.76%
1 Month
22.55%
decreased by 0.57%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 322% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0641 | 6.68*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0343 | 3.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8806 | 93.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1105 | 4.01*** |
Persistence:
0.970
Half-life:
23 days
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