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V-Lab

Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

22.30%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Week

22.36%

decreased by 0.76%

1 Month

22.55%

decreased by 0.57%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 17, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 322% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0641
6.68***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0343
3.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8806
93.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1105
4.01***

Persistence:

0.970

Half-life:

23 days