Jpmorgan Actv DVP MRS EQ ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 10th, 2026
1 Day
32.05%
decreased by 1.69%
1 Week
31.60%
decreased by 2.14%
1 Month
30.07%
decreased by 3.67%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 9, 2026 at 09:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 17, 2024 to Jul 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 336% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0665 | 5.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0326 | 2.75*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8819 | 82.31*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1094 | 3.98*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
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