FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days

CBOE EFA ETF Volatility Index

EURO STOXX 50 Volatility Index

How volatility evolves over time

How illiquidity evolves over time

{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	26
αARCH	0.2025	6.97***
βGARCH	0.7107	20.10***
γleverage	-0.1816	-4.88***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0783	0.97
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0069	2.58***
λ₃tau persistence	0.9914	235.83***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	26
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.2025	6.97***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.7107	20.10***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	-0.1816	-4.88***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0783	0.97
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0069	2.58***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9914	235.83***

V-Lab

FTSE 100 Implied Volatility Index 30 Days MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

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