Indian Rupee Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, June 10th, 2026
1 Day
4.93%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
4.95%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
5.02%
increased by 0.15%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, June 9, 2026 at 07:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6683 | 0.03 | |
| 0.1582 | 0.00 | |
| 0.8418 | 0.01 | |
| 0.0020 | 0.00 | |
| -0.1184 | 0.00 | |
| 0.1246 | 0.00 | |
| 0.0061 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0167 | 0.00 | |
| -0.0339 | -0.02 | |
| 0.0545 | 0.03 | |
| 0.0044 | 0.02 | |
| -0.0896 | -0.07 | |
| 0.1166 | 0.10 |
Estimation Period:
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 5, 2026
Jul 4, 1991 to Jun 5, 2026
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