Skip to main content
V-Lab

Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap & Income ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

1.74%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

2.09%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Month

2.97%

increased by 0.79%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap & Income ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 18, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3622
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7314
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3998
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1376
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2820
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0045

Persistence:

0.894

Half-life:

6 days