V-Lab
G-Devs SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
337.23%
decreased by 50.01%
1 Week
231.95%
decreased by 155.29%
1 Month
150.58%
decreased by 236.66%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:18 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.4694 | 14.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1242 | 1.85* |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 49.1027 |
Persistence:
0.531
Half-life:
1 days
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