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V-Lab

G-Devs SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

337.23%

decreased by 50.01%

1 Week

231.95%

decreased by 155.29%

1 Month

150.58%

decreased by 236.66%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:18 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of G-Devs SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 2024 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4694
14.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1242
1.85*
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

49.1027

Persistence:

0.531

Half-life:

1 days