Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

G-Devs SA MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

91.09%

increased by 11.82%

1 Week

103.71%

increased by 24.44%

1 Month

109.79%

increased by 30.52%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of G-Devs SA MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
αARCH0.4864
3.82***
βGARCH0.0000
0.00
γleverage0.1025
0.39
λ₁tau intercept49.5461

0.538

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.4864
3.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1025
0.39
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

49.5461

Persistence:

0.538

Half-life:

1 days