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V-Lab

Founders 100 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

40.34%

increased by 0.38%

1 Week

39.95%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Month

41.58%

increased by 1.62%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Founders 100 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026
Boundary Parameters
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0065
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0065
0.00
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0926
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

1.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.003

Half-life:

0 days