Skip to main content
V-Lab

Founders 100 ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

21.11%

increased by 0.77%

1 Week

2,212,338.08%

increased by 2,212,317.74%

1 Month

3,241,011,138,518,348,500,000,000,000.00%

increased by 3,241,011,138,518,348,500,000,000,000.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Founders 100 ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0751
8.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8078
46.84***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0751
-8.54***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7052
6.90***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.845

Half-life:

4 days