V-Lab
Founders 100 ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
29.12%
decreased by 2.12%
1 Week
28.99%
decreased by 2.25%
1 Month
28.73%
decreased by 2.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1444 | 5.57*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2234 | 6.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8767 | 40.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0184 | -0.60 |
Persistence:
0.877
Half-life:
5 days
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