V-Lab
Founders 100 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
30.04%
decreased by 2.29%
1 Week
29.99%
decreased by 2.34%
1 Month
29.87%
decreased by 2.46%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 12, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2946 | 5.15*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1255 | 4.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7846 | 24.79*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0117 | 0.21 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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