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V-Lab

Founders 100 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

25.45%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

26.00%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

27.16%

increased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Founders 100 ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3162
4.97***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1095
3.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7777
22.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0277
0.55

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days