V-Lab
Founders 100 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.08%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
24.75%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
26.27%
increased by 1.45%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2632 | 4.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1032 | 3.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7979 | 25.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0301 | 0.54 |
Persistence:
0.916
Half-life:
8 days
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