V-Lab
Founders 100 ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.45%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
26.00%
increased by 0.51%
1 Month
27.16%
increased by 1.67%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:15 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3162 | 4.97*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1095 | 3.99*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7777 | 22.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0277 | 0.55 |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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