V-Lab
Founders 100 ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.98%
increased by 0.39%
1 Week
25.62%
increased by 1.03%
1 Month
26.53%
increased by 1.94%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 18, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 200.00 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.9027 | 18.35*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1346 | 2.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8184 | 16.64*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 200.0000 | 0.03 |
Persistence:
0.818
Half-life:
3 days
Other Founders 100 ETF Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on ETFs