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V-Lab

Fidelity Disruptive Automation ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

21.14%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

21.13%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

21.11%

decreased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Fidelity Disruptive Automation ETF GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 12, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0695
1.28
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9091
24.88***
γleverage0.1027
1.43

0.960

Persistence

17d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0695
1.28
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9091
24.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1027
1.43

Persistence:

0.960

Half-life:

17 days