CBOE Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	51
αARCH	0.0296	2.66***
βGARCH	0.8478	54.66***
γleverage	0.1042	6.60***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0129	1.27
λ₂forecast adj.	0.0455	2.47**
λ₃tau persistence	0.9511	46.48***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	51
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0296	2.66***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8478	54.66***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1042	6.60***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0129	1.27
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0455	2.47**
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9511	46.48***

V-Lab

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other iShares MSCI South Korea ETF Analyses