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V-Lab

iShares MSCI South Korea ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

72.75%

increased by 7.36%

1 Week

72.44%

increased by 7.05%

1 Month

72.04%

increased by 6.65%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI South Korea ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 12, 2000 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0194
8.25***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8569
215.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1015
28.64***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.1017
3.01***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.3724
10.68***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6031
13.16***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days