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V-Lab

Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

32.36%

decreased by 6.60%

1 Week

24.89%

decreased by 14.07%

1 Month

14.93%

decreased by 24.03%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 09:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Leverage Shares 2X Long ECHO Daily ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 16, 2025 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

81
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0005
3.38***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9506
94.86***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0558
7.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0001
0.13
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.6169
88.42***

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days