V-Lab
Innovator Equity Dual Directional 15 Buffer ETF - November GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
3.43%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Week
3.67%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
4.39%
increased by 0.82%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 3, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 23 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 23 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0049 | 5.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8235 | 40.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2948 | 7.32*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
23 days
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