V-Lab
Horizons Beta Invr Sp/Tsx 60 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
9.25%
decreased by 0.28%
1 Week
9.54%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
10.50%
increased by 0.97%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 5, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0192 | 16.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1751 | 22.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8890 | 279.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1751 | -21.50*** |
Persistence:
0.977
Half-life:
29 days
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