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V-Lab

Horizons Beta Invr Sp/Tsx 60 GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

9.25%

decreased by 0.28%

1 Week

9.54%

increased by 0.01%

1 Month

10.50%

increased by 0.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

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graph of Horizons Beta Invr Sp/Tsx 60 GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 5, 2009 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0192
16.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1751
22.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8890
279.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1751
-21.50***

Persistence:

0.977

Half-life:

29 days